Sevilla 1–3 Atlético de Madrid: Result & Analysis

Atlético de Madrid beat Sevilla 3–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Model vs Market

Our statistical model against the market consensus with the margin removed, market by market.

Full Time Result

Away — market 49% at 1.95, model 60%.

Draw — market 28% at 3.40, model 22%.

Home — market 23% at 4.10, model 18%.

Double Chance

Draw or Atletico Madrid — market 76% at 1.22, model 82%.

Sevilla or Atletico Madrid — market 73% at 1.28, model 78%.

Sevilla or Draw — market 51% at 1.83, model 40%.

Draw No Bet

1 — market 31% at 3.00, model 23%.

2 — market 69% at 1.36, model 77%.

Both Teams to Score

No — market 50% at 1.90, model 50%.

Yes — market 50% at 1.90, model 50%.

Goals Over/Under 2.5

Over — market 47% at 2.00, model 52%.

Under — market 53% at 1.80, model 48%.

Total Corners

12 - 14 — market 19% at 4.75.

6 - 8 — market 30% at 3.00.

9 - 11 — market 34% at 2.62.

Over 14 — market 8% at 11.00.

Explore

Sevilla stats & form · Atlético de Madrid stats & form · La Liga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on Sevilla vs Atlético de Madrid: Model Picks · Win Probability & Scorelines · Match Centre.

Every Sevilla vs Atlético de Madrid call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.