Sevilla 1–3 Atlético de Madrid: Result & Analysis
Atlético de Madrid beat Sevilla 3–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Sevilla: 18%, Draw: 22%, Atlético de Madrid: 60%. Predicted scoreline was 0–1 (confidence 60%).
The model favours Atlético de Madrid (60%) away: they create 1.6 goals/game and Sevilla are leaking goals (1.8 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 0.9–1.8.
Head to Head
Sevilla and Atlético de Madrid have met 5 times in the records we hold.
29 Aug 2026 — Sevilla 1–3 Atlético de Madrid (2026/2027).
Scorers: Álex Baena 4', Ademola Lookman 26', Álex Baena 33', Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega 66'.
11 Apr 2026 — Sevilla 2–1 Atlético de Madrid (2025/2026).
Scorers: Javier Boñar 35', Nemanja Gudelj 45'.
1 Nov 2025 — Atlético de Madrid 3–0 Sevilla (2025/2026).
Scorers: Thiago Almada 77', Antoine Griezmann 90'.
6 Apr 2025 — Sevilla 1–2 Atlético de Madrid (2024/2025).
Scorers: Lucien Agoumé 7', Pablo Barrios 90'.
8 Dec 2024 — Atlético de Madrid 4–3 Sevilla (2024/2025).
Scorers: Rodrigo De Paul 10', Dodi Lukébakio 12', Isaac Romero 32', Juanlu Sánchez 57'.
Over the last 5 meetings Atlético de Madrid hold the edge (1W · 0D · 4L), with Sevilla winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 1.4 goals per game.
Explore
More on Sevilla vs Atlético de Madrid: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Sevilla vs Atlético de Madrid call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.